Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.457940e-05 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000087
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.753606e-05 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000073 0.000089 0.000108
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.134006e-05 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000075 0.000096 0.000122
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.750421e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000078 0.000104 0.000137
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.372090e-05 0.000023 0.000036 0.000055 0.000078 0.000108 0.000146
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.096605e-05 0.000020 0.000034 0.000053 0.000079 0.000112 0.000156
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.186786e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000081 0.000118 0.000168
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.480736e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000052 0.000082 0.000122 0.000177
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.130848e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000051 0.000083 0.000127 0.000187
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.952148e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000050 0.000084 0.000130 0.000195
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.837955e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000048 0.000083 0.000131 0.000201
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.884832e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000045 0.000081 0.000132 0.000205
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.047754e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000044 0.000081 0.000136 0.000216
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.691824e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000045 0.000086 0.000146 0.000236
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.176239e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000044 0.000087 0.000151 0.000247
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.695610e-07 0.000006 0.000018 0.000044 0.000089 0.000158 0.000262
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.442063e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000042 0.000088 0.000160 0.000271
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.368063e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000041 0.000088 0.000163 0.000281
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.247660e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000041 0.000090 0.000170 0.000295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.301903e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000091 0.000174 0.000306
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.122509e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000039 0.000091 0.000178 0.000318
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.312573e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000092 0.000182 0.000328
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.038158e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000036 0.000090 0.000183 0.000335